Rain Expected for Father's Day; Cyclone Likely to Form in Gulf

Tropical moisture will try to surge into South Florida today. That means a mostly cloudy Father’s Day with highs up to 86 degrees.

Isolated showers could pop up at any time, but the best chance of the stronger storms and some downpours will be in the afternoon. A repeat is expected on Monday and then much lower chances for rain beginning on Tuesday.

All eyes then turn to the Western Caribbean and Gulf Of Mexico, where an area of unsettled weather continues to organize. The National Hurricane Center has now increased the odds of tropical cyclone formation to 40 percent in the next two days and 80 percent in the next five days.

At this time “direct” impacts in South Florida look low with the storm tracking into the Gulf Of Mexico. But the tropical moisture is already trying to surge into the area which means Sunday afternoon and Monday will be mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms, including some heavy downpours.

If the forecast holds, the storm is far enough away on Tuesday that drier air and warmer temps are expected the rest of the week. Please stay tuned.

As with any tropical system, a change in strength or a slight shift closer to Florida could significantly change the forecast for the workweek, but as it looks right now, Sunday and Monday will be the days with the best chance of some of the outer bands of tropical rain.

Use the NBC6 News and Weather app to stay up to date on any developments.

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