As of Sunday night, a lopsided area of low pressure is tracking about 300 miles north of Puerto Rico in the Atlantic waters.
It will lean to the northwest Monday with conditions favoring further development. This will likely lead to a tropical or subtropical storm taking shape in the next day or so.
Essentially blocked by an area of high pressure off the east coast of the United States, the system will be forced west towards the Bahamas and Florida mid-week.
While there are a lot of unknowns that remain, there is high confidence in a wet and breezy pattern unfolding for South Florida, and possibly the Keys, Tuesday evening through Friday morning.
Get South Florida local news, weather forecasts and entertainment stories to your inbox. Sign up for NBC South Florida newsletters.
The type of storm and its eventual track will ultimately determine the impacts expected across the NBC 6 viewing area. This is where the details are difficult to highlight at this moment.
There is a high confidence in dangerous beach and marine conditions for the area beginning Monday and remaining the balance of the week. This will be driven by the approach of low pressure and the continuous push of strong winds across the Atlantic waters.
The storm type will influence if the strongest winds are closer to the center, or the wild field is more expansive, spreading far to the north of the center, up the coast of Florida.
Local
Additionally, rainfall totals are difficult to pin down at this time. Again, based on storm type and track, these details are still ahead of us.
Because of this unique system and it’s precarious approach, it’s imperative to check the forecast often in the next few days, should any local preparations be necessary.
